Two options positions I have
For now, here's just a quick look at two positions I have (note, on this date GM is at $30.49 and DAL is at $18.76). Any thoughts (positive or negative) are greatly appreciated.
I have a lot of LEAP puts on GM and a lot of LEAP calls on DAL.
I think GM is going bankrupt, and the only thing that could save them would be private equity making a stupid bid, but interest rates likely to go up and with bank lenders becoming more cautious, I think the negatives of GM will start to emerge again. The other potential risk (if you're in puts) is that the UAW agrees to take the health care liabilities from GM, but frankly I don't think they'll do that without a big fight.
On DAL, they just came out of bankruptcy, which is basically like an IPO without any investment bank or any type of sales & marketing channel pumping up the stock. So you get to buy the stock at what the court thinks is a fair valuation. Only several weeks and months later does Wall Street start covering it again, and often times not for a while after that because the companies are well capitalized and they don't need any products nor services from Wall Street. Look at what happened to the stocks of United and Winn Dixie when they came out of bankruptcy. I'm wondering if DAL will have the same tick up, especially if the airline industry remains strong. The economy and fuel prices would seem to be the big risks here.